Analyzing Coronavirus spread and Mortality

Threat from Coronavirus which has been named Covid-19 is still continuing. There are currently 45,171 confirmed cases and 1,115 deaths from the Wuhan Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) or Covid-19 outbreak as of February 12, 2020.

Let’s have a look at total number of cases reported till date VS Number of Deaths from Jan 23rd to Feb 11th

Out of this 45,171 confirmed cases, 31,023 (79%) have mild disease and 8,216 (21%) are in the critical state according to worldometers

Coronavirus Beyond China

Though this disease originated in China, now this disease has spread to 28 more countries.

Confirmed Cases and Deaths by Country

Epidemiologists think that the likely source of the outbreak to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in downtown Wuhan, where they believe the virus was initially transmitted from animals to humans.

How the coronavirus spread

Epidemiologists think that the likely source of the outbreak to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in downtown Wuhan, where they believe the virus was initially transmitted from animals to humans.

A study published in the medical journal JAMA found that 41% of the first 138 patients diagnosed at one hospital in Wuhan, China, were presumed to be infected in that hospital- nosocomial transmission.

When is this virus most contagious

Experts believe that the Wuhan coronavirus is most contagious during its incubation period, which lasts up to two weeks. The virus can be transmitted between humans before symptoms appear, rendering detection and containment much more difficult.

What does this mean?

The virus appears to be quite infectious. Health care workers are at especially high risk. Also, all those passengers flying out from China need to be monitored closely by their respective countries. Currently, though China is the epicenter, all measures need to be taken to prevent another country like Japan from transforming into a disease hotspot.
China’s extraordinary efforts to stop the spread of the virus hopefully should slow its spread and limit the harm the virus causes.